4

Maia Star

5yo Filly · 9-3

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Dieppe 22/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 13122/07C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 18/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 129C1 @ ParisLongchamp 04/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Sft 1294/09C1C1 @ Saint-Cloud 03/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 123C0 @ Saint-Cloud 26/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Ver 13226/10C?2 @ Saint-Cloud 19/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1282 @ Deauville 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 1208/0422 @ Dieppe 30/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1292 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m7f199y GS 12425/082projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville22nd2nd0
2026-07-30Dieppe210th10th0
2026-04-08Deauville23rd3rd0
2026-03-19Saint-Cloud211th11th0
2025-10-26Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0
2025-10-03Saint-Cloud?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/073/108/0425/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20253rd10/382%85%+0.02
18/08/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
04/09/20256th9/153%44%-0.08
03/10/20258th16/116%30%+0.14
26/10/20253rd28/10%87%+0.87
19/03/202611th22/10%33%+0.33
08/04/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07
30/07/202610th14/126%40%+0.14
25/08/20262nd15/261%93%+0.33