16

Measter Owen
5yo Gelding · 8-2
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 11/03/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 29/03/2026 | 13th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |