6
Mighty Boy
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 03/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 24/03/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 87% | -0.00 |