7
Mister Gatz
5yo Gelding · 8-12
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#15
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 13/11/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/01/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |