5

Ram Sea

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#12

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clairefontaine 21/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12721/10C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 14/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 128C0 @ Deauville 13/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12713/12C?C0 @ Deauville 02/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1353 @ Deauville 29/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 13529/0133 @ ParisLongchamp 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1272 @ ParisLongchamp 07/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 1217/052C0 @ Angers 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y GS 1192 @ Dieppe 30/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12730/072projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Dieppe212th12th0
2026-06-08Angers?1st1st0
2026-05-07ParisLongchamp23rd3rd0
2026-04-26ParisLongchamp35th5th0
2026-01-29Deauville38th8th0
2026-01-02Deauville?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/102/017/0530/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/10/20258th12/137%53%+0.16
14/11/20252nd7/163%93%+0.30
13/12/20255th7/282%60%-0.22
02/01/20262nd11/271%93%+0.22
29/01/20268th11/486%50%-0.36
26/04/20265th13/266%67%+0.01
07/05/20263rd10/147%87%+0.39
08/06/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
30/07/202612th12/137%27%-0.10