12

Sapristi

6yo Gelding · 8-7

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#3

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 26/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f199y Gd 12226/08C?C0 @ Compiegne 16/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y GS 122C0 @ ParisLongchamp 04/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 1184/10C?3 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1242 @ ParisLongchamp 07/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 1227/0523 @ ParisLongchamp 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 1232 @ Compiegne 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Sft 12120/0622 @ Dieppe 30/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1213 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f199y GS 13225/083projClass-projected finish: 16th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville312th12th0
2026-07-30Dieppe215th15th0
2026-06-20Compiegne26th6th0
2026-05-28ParisLongchamp31st1st0
2026-05-07ParisLongchamp213th13th0
2026-03-29Saint-Cloud310th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0829/0320/0625/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20259th7/163%43%-0.20
16/09/20252nd10/147%93%+0.46
04/10/202514th15/261%24%-0.37
29/03/202610th10/147%0%-0.47
07/05/202613th28/10%20%+0.20
28/05/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
20/06/20266th7/163%58%-0.05
30/07/202615th14/126%7%-0.20
25/08/202612th22/10%21%+0.21