2

Step Morning

8yo Gelding · 9-6

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 1302/08C?C0 @ Compiegne 16/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y GS 125C0 @ ParisLongchamp 19/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m7f90y GS 12719/10C?C5 @ Chantilly 18/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 132C0 @ Chantilly 11/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f199y Std 13311/12C?2 @ Dieppe 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Ver 123C5 @ Angers 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 1238/06C52 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y GS 1332 @ Le Lion D'angers 02/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1232/082projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Le Lion D'angers25th5th0
2026-07-23Vichy211th11th0
2026-06-08Angers?5th5th0
2026-05-16Dieppe23rd3rd0
2025-12-11Chantilly?4th4th0
2025-11-18Chantilly?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0818/118/062/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
16/09/202510th25/10%40%+0.40
19/10/20251st28/10%100%+1.00
18/11/20254th7/282%50%-0.32
11/12/20254th17/255%80%+0.25
16/05/20263rd14/126%78%+0.51
08/06/20265th7/163%71%+0.08
23/07/202611th20/10%33%+0.33
02/08/20265th9/276%33%-0.43