1
Bogliasco
3yo Colt · 9-2
Compiegne · Prix Des Vineux Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/03/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |