4
Entlebuch
3yo Colt · 8-11
Compiegne · Prix Des Vineux Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength43%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 08/04/2026 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 8% | -0.40 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 31/08/2026 | 15th | 8/1 | 58% | 7% | -0.51 |