IvyArcIvyArc
2

Loving Queen

3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 67

Compiegne · Prix Des Vineux Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

82%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength51%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 67 · 1m1f207y Hvy 124 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 67 par5/04C5OR 67C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 132C5 @ Angers 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 67 · 1m3f95y Gd 128 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 67 par2/05C5OR 67C0 @ Dieppe 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 136C0 @ ParisLongchamp 28/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 13028/05C?3 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 67 · 1m2f96y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 67 parC0 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Gd 12326/06C?C0 @ Vichy 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 120C0 @ Vichy 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1356/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Vichy?1st1st0
2026-07-21Vichy?6th6th0
2026-06-26La Teste De Buch?1st1st0
2026-06-10Argentan31st-1th+2
2026-05-28ParisLongchamp?10th10th0
2026-05-16Dieppe?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0416/0526/066/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20264th7/163%73%+0.10
20/04/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
02/05/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
16/05/20267th11/142%25%-0.17
28/05/202610th100/10%25%+0.25
10/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
26/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
21/07/20266th14/126%64%+0.38
06/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24