5

Nancy Des Places

3yo Filly · 8-8

Compiegne · Prix Des Vineux Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 12415/05C5C5 @ Chantilly 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 12819/06C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 12811/07C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1247/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Saint-Cloud?2nd2nd0
2026-07-11Clairefontaine?4th4th0
2026-06-19Chantilly?2nd2nd0
2026-05-15Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0519/0611/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20263rd28/10%80%+0.80
19/06/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
11/07/20264th5/174%73%-0.01
07/09/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05