5

Nancy Des Places
3yo Filly · 8-8
Compiegne · Prix Des Vineux Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |