6
Takerya
3yo Filly · 8-8
Compiegne · Prix Des Vineux Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength67%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 2 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |