1

Billion Gold

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Compiegne · Prix De L'abbaye Saint-corneille Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#5

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 09/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 1289/10C5C5 @ Chantilly 08/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1288/11C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 12811/07C5C0 @ Vichy 03/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1303/08C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1273/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03ParisLongchamp?6th6th0
2026-08-03Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-07-11Clairefontaine?4th4th0
2025-11-08Chantilly?9th9th0
2025-10-09Saint-Cloud?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/108/1111/073/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20257th11/271%40%-0.31
08/11/20259th25/10%27%+0.27
11/07/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
03/08/20262nd11/1094%83%-0.11
03/09/20266th11/486%64%-0.21