3

Kenergy

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 79

Compiegne · Prix De L'abbaye Saint-corneille Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

82%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 18/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS18/0344 @ Kempton 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m Sta 127 · HIGHER CLASS8/0444 @ Kempton 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS2/074C5 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 1m1f207y GS 128 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 79 par25/08C5OR 79projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville?2nd2nd0
2026-07-02Kempton44th3rd+1
2026-04-08Kempton43rd2nd+1
2026-03-18Kempton44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/038/042/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/03/20264th80/10%57%+0.57
08/04/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36
02/07/20264th9/276%57%-0.19
25/08/20262nd11/142%89%+0.47