10

Al Ghariya
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 73
Compiegne · Prix De Verberie Stakes · 1m 208y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 10.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 12th | 7/2 | 82% | 8% | -0.73 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 10/08/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 21% | -0.21 |