13

La Belle Helene

3yo Filly · 8-8

Compiegne · Prix De Verberie Stakes · 1m 208y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 17/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12317/04C5C5 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1285/06C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 06/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1286/07C5C0 @ Saint-Malo 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1331/08C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 13328/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Saint-Malo?2nd2nd0
2026-08-01Saint-Malo?2nd2nd0
2026-07-06Clairefontaine?10th10th0
2026-06-05Compiegne?7th7th0
2026-04-17Saint-Cloud?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/045/066/071/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/202610th40/10%44%+0.44
05/06/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
06/07/202610th80/10%18%+0.18
01/08/20262nd9/153%91%+0.38
28/08/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05