IvyArcIvyArc
5

Maine De Biran

3yo Colt · 8-11

Compiegne · Prix De Verberie Stakes · 1m 208y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Mans 04/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f152y Hvy 1234/03C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 07/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1287/05C5C5 @ Cholet 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1281/06C5C0 @ Dieppe 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1329/07C?C0 @ Vichy 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 13415/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Vichy?4th4th0
2026-07-09Dieppe?4th4th0
2026-06-01Cholet?6th6th0
2026-05-07Le Lion D'angers?2nd2nd0
2026-03-04Le Mans?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/037/051/069/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength68%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/03/20266th18/15%55%+0.49
07/05/20262nd28/10%92%+0.92
01/06/20266th7/163%29%-0.35
09/07/20264th20/10%70%+0.70
15/08/20264th9/276%67%-0.10