1
Marasi Drive
3yo Gelding · 9-4
Compiegne · Prix De Verberie Stakes · 1m 208y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 06/03/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |