3
Utxa
3yo Filly · 9-1
Compiegne · Prix De Verberie Stakes · 1m 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Vittel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 13/06/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/06/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 20/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |