10
And We Danced
7yo Mare · 8-0
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aronde Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 8% | -0.48 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 04/06/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 47% | -0.11 |
| 21/07/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 87% | +0.26 |