6
Barbadin
9yo Gelding · 9-2
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aronde Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 21% | -0.05 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 77% | -0.13 |
| 04/02/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 18/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 23/04/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 87% | +0.71 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 03/07/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |