4
God Save The Queen
7yo Mare · 9-3
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aronde Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
81%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 30/11/2025 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 25/02/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 20/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 87% | +0.13 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |