5

La Bobride

4yo Filly · 9-3

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aronde Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Amiens 29/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f91y Hvy 14129/10C?C0 @ Chantilly 18/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f199y Std 129C0 @ Toulouse 30/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Hvy 13130/11C?C5 @ Machecoul 10/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f146y Hvy 1203 @ Senonnes-Pouance 13/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Hvy 12913/0334 @ Strasbourg 18/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1214 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12323/0643 @ Compiegne 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1173 @ Deauville 11/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 13111/083projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Deauville38th8th0
2026-07-10Compiegne34th4th0
2026-06-23Dieppe45th5th0
2026-04-18Strasbourg49th9th0
2026-03-13Senonnes-Pouance311th11th0
2026-02-10Machecoul?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1010/0223/0611/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength24%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20254th9/153%77%+0.24
18/11/20256th11/142%38%-0.05
30/11/202513th40/10%14%+0.14
10/02/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
13/03/202611th11/142%9%-0.33
18/04/20269th14/126%20%-0.06
23/06/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
10/07/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
11/08/20268th20/10%46%+0.46