2

Orlhena
5yo Filly · 9-5
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aronde Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 10/03/2026 | 13th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 08/06/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |