2

Orlhena

5yo Filly · 9-5

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aronde Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 1214/0233 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 24/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 128C0 @ Saint-Cloud 10/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 13210/03C?3 @ Saint-Cloud 19/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1323 @ Compiegne 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1289/053C0 @ Angers 08/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y GS 1273 @ Compiegne 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12310/0733 @ Chantilly 19/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1303 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 12329/083projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Clairefontaine35th5th0
2026-07-19Chantilly38th8th0
2026-07-10Compiegne37th7th0
2026-06-08Angers?13th13th0
2026-05-09Compiegne32nd2nd0
2026-03-19Saint-Cloud36th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0219/0310/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
24/02/20263rd10/382%86%+0.03
10/03/202613th11/271%14%-0.57
19/03/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
09/05/20262nd20/10%90%+0.90
08/06/202613th16/116%0%-0.16
10/07/20267th22/10%14%+0.14
19/07/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
29/08/20265th25/10%43%+0.43