11
Daddy Joy
5yo Gelding · 9-2
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aisne Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Deauville | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Pornichet | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 42% | -0.24 |
| 27/04/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/12/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 28/12/2025 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.38 |
| 16/01/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 24/04/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.21 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/06/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |