9

Happy Lady

4yo Filly · 9-3

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aisne Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1272/11C?C0 @ Amiens 19/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Ver 1343 @ Chantilly 25/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13225/0234 @ Pornichet 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1343 @ Saint-Cloud 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 13424/0433 @ Saint-Cloud 29/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1253 @ Saint-Cloud 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12428/0633 @ Chantilly 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 129C0 @ Deauville 18/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 13018/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Deauville?10th10th0
2026-07-19Chantilly34th4th0
2026-06-28Saint-Cloud34th4th0
2026-05-29Saint-Cloud36th6th0
2026-04-24Saint-Cloud32nd2nd0
2026-03-25Pornichet43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1125/0328/0618/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20257th7/163%50%-0.13
19/11/202512th10/382%0%-0.82
25/02/20262nd11/142%90%+0.48
25/03/20263rd10/382%83%+0.01
24/04/20262nd11/271%93%+0.22
29/05/20266th1/195%44%-0.50
28/06/20264th3/184%70%-0.14
19/07/20264th3/184%63%-0.22
18/08/202610th10/382%31%-0.52