7

King Motif

8yo Gelding · 9-3

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aisne Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Cloud 10/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 13210/06C?C0 @ Argentan 26/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 1324 @ Nantes 31/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m7f90y GS 13031/0344 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 1304 @ Saint-Cloud 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f90y Sft 12522/0544 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 1323 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f91y Gd 1323/0734 @ Chateaubriant 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m5f38y Sft 1233 @ Saint-Malo 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 12328/083projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Saint-Malo36th6th0
2026-07-21Chateaubriant41st1st0
2026-07-03Clairefontaine38th8th0
2026-06-10Argentan42nd2nd0
2026-05-22Saint-Cloud46th6th0
2026-04-11Fontainebleau48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0611/043/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20258th16/116%53%+0.38
26/06/20254th6/168%75%+0.07
31/03/20262nd17/255%80%+0.25
11/04/20268th9/153%13%-0.40
22/05/20266th25/10%55%+0.55
10/06/20262nd9/153%92%+0.39
03/07/20268th15/261%50%-0.11
21/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
28/08/20266th11/271%44%-0.27