7

King Motif
8yo Gelding · 9-3
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aisne Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 26/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 31/03/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |