3

Le Gast
6yo Gelding · 9-4
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aisne Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#11
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 16/08/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 25/11/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 53% | -0.07 |
| 22/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 93% | +0.05 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 06/02/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 18/08/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 23% | -0.53 |