3

Le Gast

6yo Gelding · 9-4

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aisne Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#11

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ ParisLongchamp 03/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m3f40y Gd 1303/07C?C0 @ Deauville 16/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 135C0 @ Deauville 01/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1201/11C?C0 @ Deauville 25/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 124C0 @ Deauville 22/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12722/12C?3 @ Deauville 16/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1293 @ Deauville 06/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1216/0233 @ Dieppe 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 127C0 @ Deauville 18/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 13118/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Deauville?11th11th0
2026-07-30Dieppe34th4th0
2026-02-06Deauville310th10th0
2026-01-16Deauville35th5th0
2025-12-22Deauville?2nd2nd0
2025-11-25Deauville?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0725/116/0218/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
16/08/20255th5/287%73%-0.14
01/11/20252nd9/276%93%+0.17
25/11/20258th15/261%53%-0.07
22/12/20252nd9/488%93%+0.05
16/01/20265th15/890%67%-0.23
06/02/202610th4/179%36%-0.43
30/07/20264th18/15%75%+0.70
18/08/202611th9/276%23%-0.53