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6

Lucio Vero

6yo Gelding · 9-3

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aisne Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

87%

Place Prob

58%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Fontainebleau 17/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 15617/0344 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m7f199y Sft 1203 @ Saint-Cloud 24/04/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 12824/043C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m7f199y Sft 1213 @ ParisLongchamp 04/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1254/063C0 @ Toulouse 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1173 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f91y Gd 1323/0734 @ Mont De Marsan 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Gd 1324 @ La Teste De Buch 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 14519/084projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19La Teste De Buch41st1st0
2026-07-23Mont De Marsan44th4th0
2026-07-03Clairefontaine32nd2nd0
2026-06-08Toulouse?1st1st0
2026-06-04ParisLongchamp315th15th0
2026-05-05Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/035/053/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/202612th9/153%8%-0.44
27/03/20262nd22/10%93%+0.93
24/04/202616th8/158%0%-0.58
05/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
04/06/202615th20/10%7%+0.07
08/06/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
03/07/20262nd28/10%93%+0.93
23/07/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
19/08/20261st11/142%100%+0.58