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10

Rio Grande

6yo Gelding · 9-2

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aisne Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lyon La Soie 11/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 13011/0344 @ Lyon La Soie 21/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1303 @ Deauville 07/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1287/0434 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1254 @ Marseille 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 13122/0544 @ Salon-De-Provence 17/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1284 @ Aix-Les-Bains 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 12826/0644 @ Aix-Les-Bains 14/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 1304 @ Vittel 11/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 12911/084projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Vittel46th6th0
2026-07-14Aix-Les-Bains47th7th0
2026-06-26Aix-Les-Bains41st1st0
2026-06-17Salon-De-Provence49th9th0
2026-05-22Marseille41st1st0
2026-04-29Lyon-Parilly49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0329/0426/0611/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/202613th13/266%0%-0.66
21/03/202611th25/10%33%+0.33
07/04/202614th18/15%0%-0.05
29/04/20269th28/10%0%0.00
22/05/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
17/06/20269th8/158%20%-0.38
26/06/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
14/07/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
11/08/20266th20/10%29%+0.29