4

Sonnaz
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aisne Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Strasbourg | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength22%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 58% | -0.18 |
| 11/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 14/07/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 23/12/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 09/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 22/03/2026 | 15th | 7/4 | 91% | 7% | -0.84 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |