1

Splendino

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'aisne Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ ParisLongchamp 10/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 11810/0523 @ Dieppe 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 1304 @ Compiegne 25/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12525/0543 @ ParisLongchamp 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 129C0 @ Angers 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f95y GS 1288/06C?3 @ Dieppe 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1304 @ Les Sables 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Gd 1286/0843 @ Deauville 11/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1313 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f199y GS 12525/083projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville37th7th0
2026-08-11Deauville31st1st0
2026-08-06Les Sables41st1st0
2026-07-30Dieppe34th4th0
2026-06-08Angers?2nd2nd0
2026-06-04ParisLongchamp32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/054/066/0825/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/202613th40/10%8%+0.08
16/05/20262nd16/116%91%+0.75
25/05/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
04/06/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35
08/06/20262nd7/491%91%+0.00
30/07/20264th11/486%73%-0.13
06/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
11/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
25/08/20267th10/147%57%+0.10