3

Midnight Minister

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 44

Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 5f 12025/07C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 46 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 46 par1/09C6OR 46projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Fairmount Park?5th5th0
2026-07-25Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength30%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20263rd11/271%33%-0.38
01/09/20265th10/147%20%-0.27