7

Culture Shock

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 62

Fairmount Park · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength34%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Hawthorne 28/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y 11928/09C6C5 @ Hawthorne 19/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 47 · 6f110y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/10/2025 · OR 47 par19/10C5OR 47C9 @ Hawthorne 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 44 · 5f Fm 119 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 44 par17/05C9OR 44C5 @ Hawthorne 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 55 · 7f110y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 55 par28/06C5OR 55projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Hawthorne?4th3rd+1
2026-05-17Hawthorne?1st5th3
2025-10-19Hawthorne?5th4th+1
2025-09-28Hawthorne?4th5th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0919/1017/0528/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength60%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/20254th15/261%63%+0.02
19/10/20255th16/116%20%+0.04
17/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
28/06/20264th8/158%50%-0.08