4
Ladies Legacy
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 47
Fairmount Park · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 04/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |