3
Chanel Point
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 60
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-10 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2024 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 38% | -0.55 |
| 08/09/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 29/04/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/05/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 10/06/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 14% | -0.68 |
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 02/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/09/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |