1
Time Break
8yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 62
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
50%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |