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5

Enchanted Moment

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 41

Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength98%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 19/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 34 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2025 · OR 34 par19/08C6OR 34C6 @ Fairmount Park 09/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 36 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 36 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 36 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 36 par4/10C6OR 36C6 @ Fairmount Park 21/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 41 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 41 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 33 · 5f110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 33 par5/05C6OR 33C6 @ Fairmount Park 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 35 · 5f110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 35 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 37 · 5f110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 37 par16/06C6OR 37C6 @ Fairmount Park 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 38 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 38 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 40 · 1m70y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 40 par28/07C6OR 40projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Fairmount Park?4th1st+3
2026-07-07Fairmount Park?5th2nd+3
2026-06-16Fairmount Park?6th3rd+3
2026-05-26Fairmount Park?4th1st+3
2026-05-05Fairmount Park?5th2nd+3
2025-10-21Fairmount Park?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0821/1016/0628/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20254th9/153%25%-0.28
09/09/20256th33/10%17%+0.17
04/10/20254th25/10%63%+0.63
21/10/20255th16/116%20%+0.04
05/05/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
26/05/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
16/06/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
07/07/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
28/07/20264th12/137%50%+0.13