4
Wave Of Memories
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 28
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |