Dinner At Crumpies
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-08 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/04/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |