God Guns N Guts
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 61
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-08-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 01/07/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 24/07/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 12/08/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/11/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |