5
Skylane
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 68
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |