3

Call Me Christine

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 88

Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

75%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 15/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS15/07C6C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 74 · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 74 parC5 @ Hawthorne 18/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/09/2025 · OR 82 par18/09C5OR 82C6 @ Fairmount Park 28/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 79 · 5f110y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 79 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 75 · 5f110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 75 par30/05C6OR 75C8 @ Churchill Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 80 · 6f 123 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 93 · 6f Gd 121 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 93 par25/07C8OR 93C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 92 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 92 par13/08C8OR 92projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-07-25Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-06-24Churchill Downs?7th7th0
2026-05-30Fairmount Park?4th2nd+2
2026-04-28Fairmount Park?1st-1th+2
2025-09-18Hawthorne?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0728/0425/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength55%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
25/08/20253rd7/163%71%+0.08
18/09/20257th10/382%14%-0.68
28/04/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
30/05/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
24/06/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
25/07/20263rd11/893%67%-0.26
13/08/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04