La Reynita
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 67
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-10 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 30/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 06/12/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 1/5 | 99% | 50% | -0.49 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 25% | -0.67 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |