2
Naomi An Ruth
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 63
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 13/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 29/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |