1
Rockin Rocio
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 81
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength61%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-10-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 17/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 11/09/2025 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |