6
Veronicaforthewin
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 67
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |