4
Wildwood Triple
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 66
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength69%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2024-10-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2024-08-27 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2024-08-06 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2024-06-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2024-05-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2023 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/04/2024 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 07/05/2024 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 21/05/2024 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 04/06/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/08/2024 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 27/08/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 29/10/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |