1
Mistressofmischief
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 97
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2025-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/08/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/08/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |