6
Red Dover
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 28
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 14/04/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |